So, what could happen? Who will go up, and who will go down?
Here are my predictions:
Judith Collins – In the article I linked above, Bridges heavily praised Collins, and how she would make a “great attack dog.” Likely to get the Finance role.
Mark Mitchell – During the leadership contest, Mark raised his profile with the public and had a good try at the leadership. A possible contender for Foreign Affairs.
Jami-Lee Ross – At just 32 and already chief whip, giving him a major portfolio like Transport or Immigration would be a clear sign of the “generational change” that Bridges has talked about.
Gerry Brownlee – He’s been in the game for 21 years now, and was a part of the Key/English era that National will hope to shake off as they build towards the “Bridges era.” Most likely the unfortunate victim of generational change.
Chris Finlayson – Like Brownlee, a relic of the Key/English era. Also looks like generational change will force him to move over.
David Carter – There’s definitely a pattern with those who I am predicting to go down – generational change. The same holds true for David Carter, as the former speaker of the house could well be pushed aside.
These are just my predictions though. I could well be (and probably am), well off the mark.